Risk Adjustment

RADV & Compliance

Risk Adjustment Data Validation — the audit landscape, OIG enforcement, and compliance strategies

Source: CMS, HHS OIG, MedPAC, federal court filings • Last updated March 2026

Key Takeaway

RADV is CMS's primary enforcement tool for ensuring that MA plans' risk scores are supported by medical records. The program is undergoing its most aggressive expansion in history: from auditing ~60 contracts per year to all 550 eligible contracts, with a workforce growing from 40 to 2,000 coders. Although a federal judge vacated the extrapolation rule in September 2025, enforcement pressure continues and CMS is expected to reissue. Every MA organization should be preparing for audit now.

What Is RADV?

Risk Adjustment Data Validation (RADV) is CMS's audit program that verifies whether diagnoses submitted by Medicare Advantage organizations for risk adjustment are actually supported by medical records. If diagnoses cannot be validated, MA plans must repay the associated risk adjustment revenue.

RADV is separate from (but complementary to) the HHS Office of Inspector General's own audit activities. OIG conducts independent investigations and has been increasingly aggressive in flagging MA risk adjustment practices.

Administered by

CMS Center for Program Integrity (CPI)

Authority

Social Security Act §1857(e); 42 CFR §422.311

Scope

All MA contracts (Part C); separate program for Part D

Parallel program

HHS-RADV for ACA Marketplace (45 CFR Part 153)

The $84 Billion Context

MedPAC estimates the federal government overpays MA plans by approximately 20% per beneficiary, totaling ~$84 billion in 2025. Risk adjustment is the primary mechanism through which this overpayment occurs. CMS has multiple levers to address this: the coding intensity adjustment (5.9%), RADV audits, model recalibration (V28), and the proposed exclusion of unlinked chart reviews ($7.2B). RADV is the enforcement backstop that validates all other risk adjustment inputs.

550

Contracts targeted

All eligible MA contracts

2,000

Audit coders

Up from 40 in 2024

61%+

Records unsupported

OIG sample finding

$17B

Est. annual overbilling

Federal estimates

RADV Program Timeline

Two Audit Ecosystems

CMS RADV (Medicare Advantage)

  • Validates MA plan risk adjustment submissions
  • Expanding to all 550 eligible contracts
  • Extrapolation methodology under legal challenge
  • PY2018–2024 audits in progress or planned
  • CMS + OIG conduct separate audit streams

HHS-RADV (ACA Marketplace)

  • Validates ACA issuer risk adjustment submissions
  • Governed by 45 CFR Part 153
  • Different methodology from CMS RADV
  • Less publicized but growing in scope
  • Administered by CMS/CCIIO